2010 ~ 2050 critical period of China s energy system

      Global climate change is the traditional pattern of the world s energy challenges, countries need to further energy efficiency, clean, low-carbon direction. In the next few decades, the world s energy structure will undergo major changes in the world are adjusting their strategies, new energy technologies as countries compete to battle the strategic high ground.

Since reform and opening, China s sustained rapid economic growth, energy consumption will be increased, a series of trade reforms, substantial increase in the energy supply capacity. In this century, energy supply followed demand-pull, the super-high-speed growth, China will soon become the world s major energy consumer, may this year will surpass the United States. If China s energy consumption to maintain this century, the average growth rate of 8.9%, then the country s energy consumption in 2020 will reach nearly 80 million tonnes of coal, accounting for the world s total energy consumption of 50%. Even if our economy continues to grow at a rate of 8.9%, we can continue to achieve consumption per unit GDP decreased by 20% every five years, after 2020, China s energy consumption will account for more than 30% of the world.

China faces serious energy challenges, economic growth will be severely constrained energy resources. We must make the necessary levels of energy consumption goal of total control, overall growth rate, industrial structure and consumption patterns.

China s GDP accounted for 7% of total world production, consumption of the world s total energy consumption of 17.7%, mainly because economic growth is too much to rely on traditional fixed-asset investment and exports to external demand, the industrial structure, too much emphasis on the secondary industry, emphasis on basic raw materials and general manufacturing, and energy-using equipment, energy efficiency is low, the high proportion of coal, but also further reduce the energy use efficiency. Extensive exploitation and utilization of energy, leading to serious environmental problems, air, water, pollution, economic growth for this are a huge price to pay. As industrialization and urbanization accelerated, will be greater pressure on the environment, and with improving the lives of people increasing demands on the environment, requiring high quality energy and clean technology. The parties to the climate change problem may still have a lot of controversy, but our development to efficient, green, low carbon are necessary. Therefore, the energy development strategy is particularly important.

2010 to 2050 is 40 years of transition, China s energy system, energy system from the now more extensive, inefficient, high emissions, due to the safety of energy systems, and gradually transition to conservation, efficient, clean, diverse, modern security energy system. After 2050, China will have a new system with Chinese characteristics and energy into relatively free of the green, low carbon energy development. Continued as long as serious efforts, China s energy sustainable development can be achieved. 2010 to 2030, this 20-year period the focus of the transition period, is to determine the crucial task is completed the critical period. We should as soon as possible mechanism for energy conservation and efficiency, to achieve the new energy (including nuclear energy, renewable energy, etc.) of the breakthrough, and fossil energy security and clean use of environmentally friendly production. At the same time, should control the emissions of pollutants and greenhouse gases, the basic solution to ensure security of oil supply and alternative power systems to optimize development, rural energy patterns significantly improved.

From now to 2020, especially the "1025" period is a critical period of structural change in energy. Should be adjusted to achieve a major economic restructuring, energy consumption growth rate and structure will significantly change, energy conservation, efficiency improvement, emission reduction achieved new results from the extensive supply to meet the needs of rapid growth mode, as soon as possible into a scientific supply, security and reasonable needs a new model of energy supply and demand, changes in the pattern of energy to support the development of scientific development, promote the development mode. During this period, we need to focus on promoting nuclear power, hydropower and natural gas development, accelerate clean coal technology and safety, support for innovation and development of renewable energy, to take effective measures to change the auto industry and the construction of the development mode, overall planning, channel implementation. In addition, China should take effective economic policy as a lever, Forced local and enterprise energy conservation inherent power. Tax should be introduced to resources, energy tax, carbon tax, carbon tax, property tax and other policies to further adjust energy prices, strengthening resource management, improve access to various types of energy efficiency standards.